2 results found

Getting at the truth in Opinion Polls

This article takes as given the accuracy of opinion polls. It offers instead a suggestion towards improving forecasts of elections where traditional assumptions may not be valid. What is offered is a consistent, and ex-ante correction, to polling data. This...

A short note on the GDP back-series released by the National Statistical Commission

The Report’s conclusion of 9 % growth in UPA-I (2004/5-2008/9) maybe, in reality, close to 6 % per annum. More needs to be researched by all of us before jumping to conclusions.